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Running With The Bulls – Morbidelli Edition

May 4, 2019 • admin

Yamaha rider, Franco Morbidelli, had a great start to the weekend in Jerez and snagged an amazing P2 grid position just ahead of 2018 World Champion, Marc Marquez!

Here’s what our team thought of the young gun going into race week…

Photo Source: MotoGP.com

Let me just state the obvious, as a rookie in the 2018 season, Morbidelli killed it at Jerez. Placing 9th just after Alvaro Bautista last year, Morbidelli currently holds the third strongest historical consistency index of the pack. Why do we care so much about this? A rookie with a strong consistency shows early signs of a mature rider, identifying skills that ultimately separate out those who are able to lead the series. Don’t get me wrong, fast times are great in all, but what are they worth if they aren’t paired with consistency? Often times we see consistent times from riders in the back who are riding at a slower pace. But last year at Jerez, Morbidelli held the 9th strongest speed index out of the 17 riders who crossed the finish line. We saw a strong performance from the Yamaha rider in Texas where circuit temperature conditions often mirror those in Jerez. With a smart tire choice and continuing development in fluidity, we hope to see Morbidelli use the 2019 season as a time to defend his seat on the Yamaha satellite team.

Circuito de Jerez Historical Weather Profile

May 3, 2019 • admin

Photo Source: MotoGP.com

Everyone can go look up the weather for this coming weekend, but can you find a detailed historical weather profile that ties it all back to racing?

Head on over to our Circuito de Jerez Historical Weather Profile where we analyze four different weather factors and walk you through the chain reactions of each.

Questions? Feel free to shoot us a message!

Spanish Grand Prix Rider Watch List

May 2, 2019 • admin

Before each race, our team analyzes the MotoGP riders along with various factors that impact race day. After studying historical data, bike set up, circuit configuration and climate profiles, a “Rider Watch List” is compiled. Think of it as a “who’s hot, who’s not” list where we examine a handful of the top riders, some of the “up and comers” and a few that are stuck on the struggle bus.

Check out our Rider Watch List Page   where we examine this week’s ten “watch list” riders!

Wheelie Wednesday With Alex Rins

May 1, 2019 • admin

That feeling when you win your FIRST Grand Prix! Happy Wheelie Wednesday everyone!

Spanish Grand Prix Dream Teams

April 29, 2019 • admin

It’s race week and you know what that means! It’s time for some friendly “Gentleman’s Betting!”

Head on over to our Spanish GP Dream Teams page where you can vote on which of the four teams you think will bring home the most cumulative points. New to the Grand Prix Scout’s Dream Teams? Let me fill you in… Utilizing our performance and trajectory indexes for all riders on all tracks,  we are able to build statistically fair “dream teams” for every race. Results are published each Monday after the race.

***Remember: A lower cumulative index = historically stronger performance.***  

This week’s teams:

Race Week Is Around The Corner!

April 25, 2019 • admin

The Jerez Grand Prix is coming up quick and we have some exciting releases coming your way! What do those entail??

  • “Dream Teams” for gentleman’s betting
  • 5 MVP Riders
  • Weather analysis profile for Jerez
  • Circuit technicality profile

 

Check back for further updates!

Three riders, three manufacturers

April 23, 2019 • admin

Photo Source: MotoGP.com

You’re looking at the current top three racers in the World Championship rankings!
P1. Andrea Dovizioso
P2. Valentino Rossi
P3. Alex Rins
Next up, Jerez!

AD #4 – The Highest Ranked Predator in the Field at COTA 2019

April 18, 2019 • admin

Photo Source: MotoGP.com

Fluidity. Adaptability. Andrea Dovizioso.

Ducati rider, Andrea Dovizioso, had a rough start to the weekend at the Grand Prix of the Americas in Austin. Having to start qualifying in Q1, Dovizioso was showing promise to making it into Q2 until his teammate, Danilo Petrucci cranked out an incredible lap and snagged the second spot. Way to steal the spotlight Petrucci…

Having to start on the gird in P13, Dovi knew he needed not only a great start off the grid, but a plan of attack in order to climb his way through the pack. Well, IT WORKED! Starting in P13 and finishing in P4, Dovizoso not only reminded us what an incredible predator he is, but he also moved his way into 1st place in the World Championship rankings. That’s right folks, we have a new championship leader!

Let’s get back to this whole “predator” idea. Our team has developed a new index (yes, you heard me, another index) known as the predator index. This identifies those who are able to study other riders and methodically catch their opponents lap by lap.

Andrea Dovizioso held the strongest predator index out of everyone last weekend at COTA. Additionally, he held the strongest consistency index for all sectors combined. Time and time again, Dovi has shown his ability to not only exploit the brut strength of the Ducati in regards to deep braking transitioning into unparalleled acceleration, but he can also harness the powerful machine and reveal an agile side through technical sections. We believe these skill sets gave Dovizioso an upper hand as COTA presents a variable configuration that encompasses all possible elements a circuit can offer.

Does this help explain why Dovizioso was on our MVP Rider list?
Congratulations to Ducati for a strong fight to the finish line!

 

By Julia Robinson 

Wheelie Wednesday!

April 18, 2019 • admin

Wheelie Wednesday action shot with the current World Championship leader, Andrea Dovizioso!

Jump Starts and Crashes at COTA

April 16, 2019 • admin

What a weekend! Extreme weather conditions, two jump starts off the grid and after six years, a NEW COTA king. Where to start….

First off, I would like to mention what an amazing weekend our team had in Austin. COTA is arguably one of my favorite circuits I’ve visited yet. The circuit itself encompasses every configuration possible and has some of the most drastic elevation change – which by the way, provides amazing views for spectators! The weather posed many challenges for the teams as tire choice was as critical as ever. It also posed many challenges for those who didn’t bring sunscreen. Ouch. Make sure to check out our  weather profile and race weekend weather analysis!
All in all, it was a smooth sailing weekend and we can’t say enough good things about the venue, the volunteers and everyone that contributed to race week!

We’re going to focus on four riders in particular today (we didn’t forget about Lorenzo and A. Espargaro who DNF!) Let’s begin with what EVERYONE is talking about – 2 crashes, 1 manufacturer… not the best weekend for Honda.

Marquez
COTA has historically been known as Marquez territory as up until this weekend, he had been the only rider to claim pole position and the only one on that first place podium. With another incredible qualifying on Saturday, the Repsol Honda Rider earned his 7th pole position in Texas (in a row) and was ready to defend his title as the COTA King. With a great start off the grid, Marquez was cranking out an incredible race pace as he pulled away from the pack with each lap. Just as the crowd accepted a 7th win from Marquez, BOOM! Low slide on lap 9… Unable to bump start his bike, Marc Marquez retired from not only the race, but from his COTA pedestal.

Crutchlow
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again… if Cal Crutchlow can keep it on two wheels, he is a force to be reckoned with. After a controversial jump start penalty in Argentina, Crutchlow entered the race weekend with guns blazing, determine to show officials, his opponents and the spectators what he’s made of. Perhaps he came in a little too hot? With a strong performance during qualifying, Crutchlow landed in P3 on the grid and remained in 3rd for five laps until he reminded us why he is a wild card. With a low slide in lap six, Crutchlow retired from the race and ended his weekend in COTA a bit earlier than he had hoped.

Photo Source: MotoGP.com

 

HOLY JUMP STARTS

Alright guys, it’s time to get it together. With not one but two jump starts this weekend by factory riders, the ride through penalty is becoming a frequent occurrence this season.

Maverick Vinales
Second row, P6. 3… 2… jump start… 1… lights out! And they’re off! Well, unless you’re Yamaha rider Maverick Vinales who was given a ride through penalty and not only pulled in after six laps, but also encountered a miscommunication with his team and took the additional time loop AKA long lap penalty prior to his ride through. What makes this even more tragic? Maverick Vinales held the third fastest speed index for all sectors combined, just after Alex Rins and Valentino Rossi. Let me be more specific… Vinales cranked out the FASTEST sector 1 speed index out of all the riders, the second fastest for sector 2, the fifth fastest sector 3 and the fourth fastest for sector 4. Does that help you understand how he managed to climb his way back to P11 after a rough start? The jump start was a shame but were happy to see such quick times after a slow start to the season.

Joan Mir 
It’s okay you’re just a rookie… NOT. The pressure is on for this 21 year old rookie who moved his way straight to the factory team. It’s no secret that Mir shows promise, let’s be real, he’s a badass! Fact #1: Mir held the eighth strongest speed index for all sectors combined out of the entire pack. Fact #2: He had the seventh strongest speed indexes in sectors 1 and 3. Does that make his jump start penalty that much more upsetting? Yes, yes it does. A rough start at his first Americas GP in the MotoGP series but hopefully we see a clean start in Jerez!

That’s a wrap!

 

By Julia Robinson 

 

 

What We Saw In Alex Rins: Pre-Race Analysis

April 15, 2019 • admin

Photo Source: MotoGP.com

Before each Grand Prix, our team releases five riders we believe show the most promise going into race weekend. Although Suzuki rider, Alex Rins, had never completed a race at COTA since joining the MotoGP series and therefore did not make our MVP list, he WAS on our “Who to Watch” list. Below we have provided our written analysis on Rins that we compiled prior to the race weekend. Enjoy!

 

Although Alex Rins has yet to finish a race at COTA, we expect big things from him going into race week. Out of the entire group, Rins ranks #1 in performance trajectories meaning he is currently showing the quickest rate of improvement in both consistency and speed. His performance in the 2019 season thus far has been an incredible show to watch. Almost opposite of Maverick Vinales, Rins has not been able to qualify well but has managed to climb his way through the pack and catch the leading riders. With his smooth, consistent riding style, we believe Rins will utilize the technical challenges of the circuit to gain ground on his opponents as he methodically moves his agile Suzuki around the (hot) circuit.

 

 

Gentleman’s Betting – COTA Post Race Results

April 15, 2019 • admin

Teams:

Fan Votes: Ranked by % of total votes

  • 1st Place: Team 2
  • 2nd Place: Team 1
  • 3rd Place: Team 4
  • 4th Place: Team 3

 


 

Post Race Results:

  • 1st Place: Team 3 with 51 points
  • 2nd Place: Team 4 with 43 points
  • 3rd Place: Team 2 with 26 points
  • 4th Place: Team 1 with 11 points

 

We want to how YOU did! Let us know and stay check back for our Jerez Dream Teams!

AR #42: The New King of COTA

April 15, 2019 • admin

ALEX RINS! The first rider in seven years to snag 1st place from Repsol Honda rider Marc Marquez at The Circuit of the Americas!
Stay tuned for in-depth rider analysis that will be released via our website this week ⬆️
If you haven’t already, give us a follow and join us on our journey through the 2019 MotoGP season 🏁

Working Hard or Hardly Working?

April 13, 2019 • admin

Looking forward to RACE DAY! Good luck to all the riders tomorrow 🏁

Mother Nature Coming In HOT!

April 13, 2019 • admin

It’s day two here at the Circuit of the Americas and Mother Nature has been full of surprises thus far. With extreme circuit temperatures on Friday and severe thunderstorms to start Saturday off, tire choice is going to be a major factor in this weekend’s race to the podium.

Friday ended with Maverick Vinales leading the group and Texas king, Marc Marquez in a close second. The Doctor rounded out the top three with Ducati rider Jack miller taking fourth and LCR Honda rider Cal Crutchlow bringing home fifth. With storms causing officials to cancel FP3, riders will be back this afternoon for Q1 and Q2.

So let’s talk weather….

Photo Source: MotoGP.com

Fri(yay)! 

  • Free Practice 1:
    • 9:55am
    • Air temperature: 64 degrees Fahrenheit
    • Circuit temperature: 78 degrees Fahrenheit
  • Free Practice 2:
    • 2:10pm
    • Air temperature: 80 degrees Fahrenheit
    • Circuit temperature: 108 degrees Fahrenheit

Let’s break it down… From FP1 to FP2 there was a 14 degree difference in air temperature and a 38 degree difference in circuit temperature. I know what you’re thinking, WOW! So why was there such a drastic difference in circuit temperate and how does this affect tire choice? Read on my fellow weather nerds!

With clear skies in the morning and afternoon, there was little to no deflection for the shortwave radiation traveling to Earth’s surface. So we have a direct path for insolation to reach the circuit. Then what happens? Asphalt has a very low albedo which means its absorption rate is VERY high. Let’s compare asphalt to a surface with a high reflectivity rate, or a high albedo. When short waves come in contact with ice, little to no radiation is absorbed and instead is reflected right back towards the atmosphere. In contrast, when short waves reach a surface with a low albedo such as asphalt, it is absorbed throughout the day until it reaches its holding capacity and then releases heat in the form on long wave radiation to ultimately balance out Earth’s radiation budget. As the asphalt is absorbing all this insolation, the temperature starts to steadily climb and results in a significant increase in circuit temperature.

So how does a team ultimately choose the correct tires? Each rider needs an optimal level of feel when they race. While there are numerous factors to be taken into consideration, the condition of the asphalt, which changes over time, along with the circuit temperature heavily influence tire compound choice. At the end of the day, each rider knows their style and their ability to nurse their tires through various conditions. They must ask themselves, can I make these tires last through the finish line?

Round three of the season is in full swing! Check back for further updates and analysis. And make sure to check out our Weather Profile for the Circuit of the Americas!